Research / Cost drift statistics / Final cost over the first promised cost, 836 Australian transport projects
Final cost over the first promised cost, 836 Australian transport projects
24%of the first promised cost
AustraliaModerate confidenceOwner's money
24% of the first promised cost: Final cost over the first promised cost, 836 Australian transport projects (Terrill & Danks (Grattan Institute), 2016; Australia; moderate confidence).
What it is. 24% of the first publicly promised cost, final versus promised.
Sample. 836 Australian transport projects of $20m or more, 2001-2016; $28 billion over in total; 34% of projects went over.
What it is not. Measured from the first promise, mostly before any contractor is signed, and paid by the owner (the taxpayer). The median overrun is 0%: a few projects dominate the mean.
Where it came from
- Terrill & Danks (Grattan Institute) (2016), Cost overruns in transport infrastructurePDF pp.9, 29 · source record